Saturday, March 26, 2016

2016 NFL Draft: AFC East Mini Big Boards

Each team in the NFL Draft has their own draft board that they work off on draft weekend. Whether it is a vertical, horizontal board, or even both teams list hundreds of prospects in their desired order. So to keep this sweet and simple this series of articles will be a mini horizontal board for each of the NFL division’s four teams for their top needs. First let's look at the difference between a vertical and horizontal boards.


Vertical Draft Board: A vertical draft board is purely based on the best overall prospects available regardless of team needs. You typically see these boards created by media analysts to showcase who they believe are the best prospects in the class.


Horizontal Draft Board: A horizontal draft board is based more off of team needs. You never want to draft solely on need, but this is a great tool to assess who will fit your needs best.


Both of these boards compliment each other and the best teams use these tools in a harmonious function.


Remember that these boards are based on draft position and need, so Myles Jack is probably high on the Bills vertical board, but on a horizontal board he’ll fit the need description but not the draft position. If the Bills like Jack that much they favor their vertical board and will have to trade up.






Buffalo Bills



Top Needs: LB, S, OL
Surprise Need: WR


LB: Reggie Ragland, Darron Lee, Kyler Fackrell, Scooby Wright III, Joshua Perry


S: Darian Thompson, Vonn Bell, Karl Joseph, Jayron Kearse, Jeremy Cash


OL: Jack Conklin, Taylor Decker, Jason Spriggs, Vadal Alexander, Joshua Garnett


WR: Laquon Treadwell, Josh Doctson, Corey Coleman, Tyler Boyd, Will Fuller






Miami Dolphins


Top Needs: CB, RB, OL   



Surprise Need: DL


CB: Vernon Hargreaves III, William Jackson III, Eli Apple, Kendall Fuller, Artie Burns


RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Derrick Henry, Devontae Booker, Paul Perkins, Kenneth Dixon


OL: Jack Conklin, Taylor Decker, Jason Spriggs, Cody Whitehair, La’Raven Clark


DL: Robert Nkemdiche, Shaq Lawson, Emmanuel Ogbah, Kevin Dodd, Shilique Calhoun






New England Patriots


Top Needs: DE, OL, CB



Surprise Needs: WR


DE: Kevin Dodd, Adolphus Washington, Charles Tapper, Carl Nassib, Shawn Oakman


OL: Jerald Hawkins, Vadal Alexander, La’Raven Clark, Spencer Drango, John Theus


CB: Mackensie Alexander, Kendall Fuller, Zack Sanchez, Xavien Howard, Harlan Miller


WR: Will Fuller, Michael Thomas, Sterling Shepard, Nelson Spruce, Leonte Carroo






New York Jets


Top Needs: LB, OL, DT



Surprise Needs: WR


LB: Reggie Ragland, Darron Lee, Noah Spence, Kamalei Correa, Kyler Fackrell


OL: Jack Conklin, Taylor Decker, Jason Spriggs, Germain Ifedi, Jerald Hawkins


DT: Andrew Billings, Kenny Clark, Jonathan Bullard, Chris Jones, A’Shawn Robinson

WR: Laquon Treadwell, Josh Doctson, Tyler Boyd, Michael Thomas, Sterling Shepard

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

NFL Draft Prospect Visits: The Ultimate Mirage

Most people that see an NFL Draft prospect visit and make a logical assumption, “My team is interested in drafting Player X”. For the rest of the workforce world, when you have an in person interview that typically means you’re in consideration to land the job. This isn’t the case when it comes to the NFL, so let’s take a deeper dive into this concept.


*I apologize in advance, but my prospect visit examples will be Miami Dolphins players. If you read the blog or listen to the podcast you will know they are simply the team I am the most comfortable with. Again, I apologize if this bother you in some way.


The Visit with Drafting Interest
This is the situation that most fans think is occurring when they see a prospect visiting their team. Quite honestly most prospect visits prior to the draft do have some sort of interest tied to them. When you only have 30 total prospect visits before the draft you have none to put to waste. If you are considering investing a first round pick into a player you're going to want to get as up close and personal as you can. You don’t always get that opportunity at a Pro Day, the Combine, or an All-Star game.  


Our first case study is DeVante Parker who the Dolphins selected 14th overall in the 2015 class. Last off season Bryan Fischer of NFL.com reported the DeVante Parker visit with Miami. In this case the Dolphins has true interest in drafting Parker, so the brought him in and put him through their process. This example is a cut and dry as it gets, and from general knowledge is how the process of prospect visits usually works.


Now let’s dive into some of the more tactical visit types.


The Visit with No Interest/Informational
Our second prospect visit situation is the classic “smokescreen”.Teams will spend a visit with a hot prospect that they may not actually want to draft in order to get a team ahead of them to pull the trigger early, or to get a team below them to panic and trade above them for the prospect.


The other side of this is a visit that a team hosts in order to gain information on a prospect so if a team in their division drafts them, or they become a free agent, the team hosting the visit has scouted the player already.


A great example of inviting a prospect that you don’t want is when the Jaguars really sold Johnny Manziel’s visit. Everyone was saying how fantastic the visit was, but the Jaguars were just adding hype to the Manziel train so they could ensure they could get Blake Bortles at the 3rd pick overall.


Last year the Jaguars appeared poised to draft any player not named Blake Bortles with the third overall pick. It was leaked, in every manner imaginable, that their interest was not in taking a quarterback, and if they were to grab one, it would be Johnny Manziel out of Texas A&M and not the UCF standout.


Jaguars management stressed to the Bortles camp that he wouldn’t be the guy. The team hosted both Bortles and Manziel for visits, and in the interest of spreading that belief, during an early offseason practice before the draft, an offensive coach finished his meeting with the words: “Don't worry about this stuff. We'll put it in when Johnny gets here.” The ruse was bolstered many times over.” (Robert Kelmko, MMQB.si.com)


As for an example when it comes to an informational visit, this offseason the Dolphins will be bringing in Connor Cook from Michigan State. After resigning Matt Moore and working so hard to keep Logan Thomas the Dolphins are probably not going to spend a pick on a quarterback in the first two days of the draft. They could, but the logical signs would say differently (my luck they’ll draft him early and you’ll laugh at me). On the other hand the New York Jets are looking for another quarterback and Cook might end up there. This visit has more external long-term implication than just the 2016 draft.


NO Visit with Major Intent to Draft
One of the best ways to ensure you get the prospect you really want is to not invite him to your facility and have absolutely no meetings with him. It’s similar to the thought process of a twelve year old girl whose technique to telling someone she has feelings for them is to ignore them. Lesson learned: NFL executives and twelve year old girls are the same thing.

The Dolphins did this when they selected Dion Jordan in 2013. The Dolphins had zero contact with Jordan, but then they traded up to the 3rd pick overall to take him. Joke’s on them though because they didn’t do enough background checking on Jordan before taking him.


So What’s the Lesson?
Don’t worry about what prospects are visiting your team. Enjoy the NFL Draft process, but don’t get hung up on any moves that are made.

Monday, March 21, 2016

2016 NFL Draft: Top 200 Big Board

Here it is ladies and gentlemen, Zach's Top 200 Big Board. This will change between now and the Draft at the end of April, but it is the official board that we use for our mocks. This board is based on pure talent overall, so injuries and off the field issues aren't factored (I.E. Nkemdiche and Jaylon Smith being in the Top 10). Feel free to use this board for whatever you may see fit.

  1. Laremy Tunsil, OT, Ole Miss
  2. Jalen Ramsey, CB/S, Florida State
  3. Joey Bosa, DE/Rush, Ohio State
  4. Robert Nkemdiche, DT, Ole Miss
  5. Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame

  1. Myles Jack, LB, UCLA
  2. Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida
  3. Jared Goff, QB, Cal
  4. Jaylon Smith, LB, Notre Dame (Injury)
  5. DeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon

  1. Ezekiel Elliot, RB, Ohio State
  2. Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama
  3. Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State
  4. Laquon Treadwell, WR, Ole Miss
  5. Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State

  1. Leonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia
  2. Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson
  3. Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State
  4. Darron Lee, OLB, Ohio State
  5. Josh Doctson, WR, TCU

  1. Noah Spence, DE/OLB, Eastern Kentucky
  2. Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State
  3. Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis
  4. Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor
  5. Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama

  1. Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor
  2. Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville
  3. Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State
  4. William Jackson III, CB, Houston
  5. Shilique Calhoun, DE, Michigan State

  1. Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson
  2. Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana
  3. Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State
  4. Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA
  5. Cody Whitehair, G, Kansas State

  1. Adolphus Washington, DT, Ohio State
  2. Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama
  3. Tyler Boyd, WR, Pitt
  4. Nick Martin, C, Notre Dame
  5. Darian Thompson, S, Boise State

  1. Su’a Cravens, OLB, USC
  2. Jonathan Bullard, DE/DT, Florida
  3. Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson
  4. Kamalei Correa, OLB, Boise State
  5. Germain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M

  1. Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
  2. Vadal Alexander, G, LSU
  3. Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State
  4. Joshua Perry, OLB, Ohio State
  5. Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State

  1. Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn
  2. Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame
  3. Karl Joseph, S, West Virginia
  4. Jerell Adams, TE, South Carolina
  5. Jerald Hawkins, OT, LSU

  1. La’Raven Clark, OT, Texas Tech
  2. Kyler Fackrell, LB, Utah State
  3. Chris Jones, DT, Mississippi State
  4. Jayron Kearse, S, Clemson
  5. Joshua Garnett, G, Stanford

  1. A’Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama
  2. Sheldon Day, DT, Notre Dame
  3. Tyler Johnstone, OT, Oregon
  4. Charles Tapper, DE, Oklahoma
  5. Jalen Mills, S, LSU

  1. Scooby Wright, LB, Arizona
  2. Devontae Booker, RB, Utah
  3. Zack Sanchez, CB, Oklahoma
  4. Jeremy Cash, S, Duke
  5. Spencer Drango, G, Baylor

  1. Tyler Matakevich, LB, Temple
  2. Carl Nassib, DE, Penn State
  3. John Theus, OT, Georgia
  4. Paul Perkins, RB, UCLA
  5. Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas

  1. Tyvis Powell, S, Ohio State
  2. Landon Turner, G, North Carolina
  3. Austin Johnson, DT, Penn State
  4. Xavien Howard, CB, Baylor
  5. Austin Hooper, TE, Stanford

  1. Deion Jones, OLB, LSU
  2. Braxton Miller, WR, Ohio State
  3. Shawn Oakman, DE, Baylor
  4. Jatavius Brown, LB, Akron
  5. Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma

  1. Jordan Jenkins, OLB, Georgia
  2. Vernon Butler, DT, LA Tech
  3. Max Tuerk, C, USC
  4. Dak Prescott, QB, Mississippi State
  5. Rashard Higgins, WR, Colorado State

  1. Kyle Murphy, OT, Stanford
  2. Charone Peake, WR, Clemson
  3. Kenneth Dixon, RB, LA Tech
  4. Artie Burns, CB, Miami
  5. Nelson Spruce, WR, Colorado

  1. Anthony Zettel, DE/DT, Penn State
  2. Christian Hackenberg, QB, Penn State
  3. Denver Kirkland, OT, Arkansas
  4. Joe Schobert, LB, Wisconsin
  5. Harlan Miller, CB, Southeast Louisiana

  1. Alex Collins, RB, Arkansas
  2. Dan Voltz, C, Wisconsin
  3. Kevin Hogan, QB, Stanford
  4. Kelvin Taylor, RB, Florida
  5. Maliek Collins, DT, Nebraska

  1. Yannick Ngakoue, OLB, Maryland
  2. Tyler Marz, OT, Wisconsin
  3. Leonte Carroo, WR, Rutgers
  4. Kevon Seymour, CB, USC
  5. Bronson Kaufusi, DE, BYU

  1. Keanu Neal, S, Florida
  2. Blake Martinez, LB, Stanford
  3. Nick Vannett, TE, Ohio State
  4. Matt Ioannidis, DT, Temple

  1. Pharoh Cooper, WR, South Carolina
  2. Javon Hargrave, DT, South Carolina State
  3. Jonathan Williams, RB, Arkansas
  4. Jack Allen, C, Michigan State
  5. Cardale Jones, QB, Ohio State

  1. Luther Maddy, DT, Virginia Tech
  2. Kenny Lawler, WR, Cal
  3. Eric Striker, OLB, Oklahoma
  4. Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama
  5. Tajae Sharpe, WR, UMass

  1. Aziz Shittu, DE, Stanford
  2. Matt Judon, DE/OLB, Grand Valley State
  3. Kevin Byard, S, Mid Tennessee
  4. Kentrell Brothers, LB, Missouri
  5. Cyrus Jones, CB, Alabama

  1. Cody Kessler, QB, USC
  2. Jalin Marshall, WR, Ohio State
  3. Sebastian Tretola, G, Arkansas
  4. Willie Beavers, OT, Western Michigan
  5. Deiondre’ Hall, CB, Northern Iowa

  1. Joe Haeg, OT, NDSU
  2. Miles Killebrew, S, Southern Utah
  3. Christian Westerman, G, Arizona State
  4. Kalan Reed, CB, Southern Miss
  5. Trevone Boykin, QB TCU

  1. Roberto Aguayo, K, Florida State
  2. KeiVarae Russell, CB, Notre Dame
  3. Dadi Lhomme Nicholas, OLB, Virginia Tech
  4. Sean Davis, S, Maryland
  5. Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan

  1. Antonio Morrison, LB, Florida
  2. Ronald Blair, DE, Appalachian State
  3. Justin Simmons, S, Boston College
  4. Jihad Ward, DT, Illinois
  5. Aaron Burbridge, WR, Michigan State

  1. Rees Odhiambo, G, Boise State
  2. Roger Lewis, WR, Bowling Green
  3. C.J. Prosise, RB, Notre Dame
  4. De’Runnya Wilson, WR, Mississippi State
  5. Ben Braunecker, TE, Harvard

  1. Halapoulivaati Vaitai, OT, TCU
  2. Travis Feeney, OLB, Washington
  3. Adam Gotsis, DT, Georgia Tech
  4. Will Redmond, CB, Mississippi State
  5. Maurice Canady, CB, Virginia

  1. Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana
  2. Brandon Doughty, QB, WKU
  3. Deandre Houston-Carson, S, William & Mary
  4. J.T. Boyd, C, East Carolina
  5. James Bradberry, CB, Samford

  1. Daniel Lasco, RB, Cal
  2. Kenyan Drake, RB, Alabama
  3. Dominique Alexander, LB, Oklahoma
  4. Hassan Ridgeway, DT, Texas
  5. Lloyd Carrington, CB, Arizona State

  1. Glenn Gronkowski, FB, Kansas State
  2. Victor Ochi, OLB/DE, Stony Brook
  3. Keith Marshall, RB, Georgia
  4. Tyler Higbee, TE, Western Kentucky
  5. D.J. Foster, RB/WR, Arizona State

  1. Bralon Addison, WR, Oregon
  2. Paul McRoberts, WR, Southeast Missouri State
  3. Evan Boehm, C, Missouri
  4. James Cowser, DE, Southern Utah
  5. Trent Matthews, S, Colorado State

  1. Cassanova McKinzy, LB, Auburn
  2. Dan Vitale, FB, Northwestern
  3. Aaron Green, RB, TCU
  4. KJ Dillon, S, West Virginia
  5. Kevin Peterson, CB, Oklahoma State

  1. Willie Henry, DT, Michigan
  2. T.J. Green, S, Clemson
  3. Joe Dahl, OT, Washington State
  4. Keenan Reynolds, QB/RB, Navy
  5. Mike Matthews, C, Texas A&M

  1. Nile Lawrence-Stample, DT, Florida State
  2. Jared Norris, LB, Utah
  3. Tom Hackett, P, Utah
  4. Josh Forrest, LB, Kentucky
  5. Jacoby Brissett, QB, North Carolina State

  1. Byron Marshall, WR, Oregon
  2. Cole Toner, OT, Harvard
  3. D’haquille Williams, WR, Auburn
  4. Demarcus Ayers, WR, Houston
  5. Bryce Williams, TE, East Carolina

  1. Tavon Young, CB, Temple